In kasta oo adduunka kubbadda cagta intiisa badani ay taxaddar ku sameeyeen dhaqaalaha ka dib faafidda cudurka ‘coronavirus’, haddana Chelsea waxay ku qarashgareysay cidna cid kale xilligan oo kale, iyadoo ku kala bixisay some 200 milyan si ay u keento weeraryahannada Timo Werner, Hakim Ziyech iyo Kai Havertz, oo ay weheliyaan a daafaca bidix ee cusub, Ben Chilwell. Waxay keeneen daafac ruug cadaa ah iyo kabtankii hore ee Paris Saint-Germain Thiago Silva oo ay sidoo kale si bilaash ah kula soo wareegeen.
Taasi waa kala bar bilow ah halkaas, waxaana lagu soo koobay saf fiican oo ku filan inuu kaalinta afaraad kaga dhammeysto Premier League xilli ciyaareedkii hore, waligiis ha u imaanin imaatinka goolhaye Edouard Mendy oo ka yimid Stade Rennes.
Sidee wax usocdaan ilaa iyo hada? Way adag tahay in la yiraahdo, sida iska cad, iyadoo la tixgelinayo in kaliya labo saxiix oo cusub ay ciyaareen – Werner wuxuu ciyaaray dhammaan 180 daqiiqo oo horyaalka ah iyo Havertz 124 – iyo seddexdii gooldhaliye ee soo laabtay sanadkii hore (Tammy Abraham, Christian Pulisic iyo Olivier Giroud) ayaa galay. isku darka 12 daqiiqo oo ficil ah. Ziyech, Chilwell, Silva iyo Pulisic dhammaantood lama heli karin cudurro kala duwan awgood, runtiina ma garan karno sida ay iskula jaan qaadayaan inta laga helayo dhammaantood. (Silva wuxuu bilaabay Arbacadii kulankii Barnsley ee EFL Cup, iyadoo Chilwell uu keydka ka soo kacay 24 daqiiqo).
Kaai Havertz ayaa ku soo bilaawday mid kasta oo ka mid ah seddexdii kulan ee ugu horreysay xilli ciyaareedka ee Chelsea, laakiin Blues waxaa ka maqnaa shaqaale badan oo cusub iyo jaangooyooyin kooxda koowaad ah. Pho
Labadooda kullan ee ugu horreeyay horyaalka si gaar ah uma aysan dhicin. Waxay ka shaqeeyeen sidii ay u dhaafeen Brighton 3-1 inkasta oo goolal laga filan karay (waxay ka dhaliyeen 1.3 xG 10 darbo, halka Brighton ay ka dhalisay 1.6 ka 13), iyada oo 35-yard oo bambo ah oo ka timid Reece James ay Blues siisay qaybta labaad ee ciyaarta. Kadib waxaa dul maray labo gool Sadio Mane ciyaartii guuldarada 2-0 ee Liverpool. Ciyaartii dambe waxaa lagu qeexay xoogaa kaarka cas qeybtii hore Andreas Christensen, laakiin Liverpool ayaa aheyd koox aad u awood badan ka hor, sidoo kale.
Labadii kulan ee ay ciyaareen, Chelsea ayaa kaliya ku bilaabatay kaliya 7 hanashada weerarka, halka kooxaha ka soo horjeedaa ay bilaabeen 30. (afar iyo labaatan ka mid ah ayaa yimid kulankii Liverpool; way cadahay in kooxda difaacanaysa horyaalka ay ku bilaabatay xilli ciyaareed xawaare sarre leh.) lama filaan ah waa xun, laakiin ma jiraan wax si gaar ah ugu fiican kooxda Frank Lampard ilaa iyo haatan. Waan arki doonaa waxa dhaca marka uu haysto xulkiisa koowaad ee xulkiisa.
Man City ma hagaajisay arimahoodii difaaca?
Pep Guardiola kooxdiisii afaraad ee Manchester City ayaa xilli ciyaareed xiiso leh 2019-20. (Waa inaan halkaan ka ogaanno in “wax xiiso leh” aysan ahayn had iyo jeer sifo wanaagsan.) Waxay ku hoggaamiyeen Premier League goolal la iska dhaliyay iyo kala duwanaansho goolal, waxayna ku jireen kaalinta labaad ee goolal loo oggolaaday Markay ilkahooga kugu galeen, kama ay sii deyn.
Marka laga eego aragtida macro, farqi badan uma dhaxeyn kooxdaas iyo labadiisii horreeyay ee ku guuleystay horyaalnimada. Laakiin qiyaastii bishiiba hal mar, way seexdeen, iyagoo ka tanaasulay gool miiska saaran oo ku fashilmay inay jabiyaan difaacyada buuxa. Waxay ku dhaceen Norwich City iyo Southampton, waxaa qaaday Wolverhampton Wanderers iyo Manchester United waxayna ku soo afjareen ololahan 18 dhibcood oo ay ka hooseeyaan kooxda heysata horyaalka ee Liverpool. Kaaga darane, waxaa laga reebay wareega 8-da Champions League markale, markan Lyon.
Ku dhowaad daciifnimada keliya ee xagga tirakoobka ahayd ee City haysatay ayaa ahayd tan ugu xun: Waxay u oggolaadeen 0.144 xG halkii tallaal, inta badan horyaalka. Waa la siiyay, ma aysan ogolaan rasaas badan, laakiin markii ay ogolaadeen, waxay ahaayeen kuwo madhan sidaad u heli doontid. Markii burburkaasi dhacay, waxay had iyo jeer u muuqdeen inay horseedayaan dhibco hoos u dhacay.
- Tilmaamaha daawadayaasha ESPN +: Bundesliga, Serie A, MLS, FA Cup iyo inbadan Iyadoo la tixgelinayo inay ahayd mushkilad noocaas oo kale ah, waxay inagu qaadandoontaa waqti si aan u go’aansanno in arrintan la xalliyay iyo in kale, laakiin in Wolves oo 3-1 ku garaacaysa ay ahayd hab wanaagsan oo lagu bilaabo xilli ciyaareedka. City ayaa heshay +1.3 xG faa’iido, kubbadda haysatay 66% waqtiga waxayna bilawday toddobo hanti ka badan kuwa Wolves ee weerarka saddexaad. Hase yeeshe, waxay martida u hayeen 0.08 xG xabad kasta, ugu hooseeya horyaalka. Daafaca ayaa soo bandhigay dheeri cusub Nathan Ake oo daafaca dhexe ah iyo daafaca adag ee Fernandinho oo dib ugu soo laabtay qadka dhexe ee daafaca (wuxuu ciyaaray daafac dhexe sanadkii hore, natiijooyin isku dhafan), waxayna ka hortimid liiska Wolves ee wali kujira kala guurka.
Arsenal waa kooxda Arteta hada. Taasi micneheedu waa maxay?
Markii Mikel Arteta uu la wareegay Gunners bartamihii xilli ciyaareedkii hore, intaas oo dhan ma uusan badalin. Arsenal ayaa xoogaa ka celisay cadaadiskii daafaca, waxaay ka gaabisay oo waxay u ogolaatay muuqaal yar, laakiin ma aysan cadeynin wax lahaansho kubadeed ah ama aysan sameynin waxyaabo badan oo aad ka fileysay ciyaaryahankii hore ee Arsene Wenger iyo kaaliyaha Guardiola inay sameeyaan.
Haddaba, ka dib xilli-ciyaareed aad u kooban iyo daaqad-wareejin buuxda oo ku saabsan liisaska liistada – keenista garabka Chelsea Willian iyo daafaca Lille Gabriel, tusaale ahaan – maxaa is beddelay goor hore?
- Ciyaartii kubad haysashada ayaa la rakibey. Arsenal ayaa ku raaxeysaneysay 58% haysashada ilaa iyo haatan (waxay ahayd 52% kadib markii Arteta la wareegay xiliciyaareedkii hore), waxayna hantidoodu celcelis ahaan 2.6 baas ka badan tahay tii ka soo horjeeday (+0.6 oo ay la gashay Arteta sanadkii hore).
- Waxay … qaataan … waqtigooda … macaan … Labadii kulanba, Arsenal ayaa celcelis ahaan celcelis ahaan 74.5 haysata ciyaar kasta. Sidee gaabis ah taasi? 10-kii sano ee la soo dhaafay, celceliska ugu hooseeya ee xilli-ciyaareed buuxa wuxuu ahaa kii 84.8 ee Manchester City ee 2019-20 (Guardiola!). Celceliska waqtiga kubad haysashada Arsenal waa 33.1 ilbidhiqsi; kii ugu sarreeyay tobankii sano ee la soo dhaafay wuxuu ahaa Manchester City 32.4 ee 2018-19 (Guardiola markale!). Iyagu ma cadaadinayaan waxaas oo dhan, taas oo macnaheedu yahay kuwa ka soo horjeedaa sidoo kale inay ku raaxaystaan waqti fiican kubbada, taasina waxay ka dhigaysaa xawaaraha inuu ku soo gurguuro. Tixraac ahaan, Leeds United ayaa celcelis ahaan celcelis ahaan haysata 120 kulan kasta illaa iyo hadda. Waxay u egtahay in labadaas koox ay ciyaarayaan ciyaaro kala duwan.
- Pragmatism-ka ayaa soo saaraysa tallaallo waaweyn. Arsenal ayaa celcelis ahaan garaacaysa 0.20 xG halkii talaal, kun meelood oo dhibic ayey ka hooseysaa Tottenham Hotspur si ay ugu sareyso horyaalka. Dabcan, qaabkani ma soosaarayo darbooyin badan – 0.13 darbooyinkiiba halkii kubad haysasho waxay kujiraan kaliya 11-aad waxayna kudarsan yihiin kuwa kasoo horjeeda ‘0.13 darbooyin oo ay heystaan kubad heysashada, waxay la micno tahay inay guuleysanayaan kulamada tayada toogashada ka badan tayada guud. Waxay guuleysanayaan kulamada, in kastoo: 3-0 ay uga adkaadeen Fulham iyo 2-1 oo ay ku adkaatay West Ham United. Hammers waxay abuurtay faa iido 2.4-to-1.3 xG ah, laakiin kaliya seddex ka mid ah 14 darbo ayay ku ridi kartaa goolka, iyo furitaan la’aan, fududaan u muuqda inay ku dhowdahay Arsenal. Way adag tahay in si kalsooni leh loogu yeedho kuwa u tartamaya Champions League, laakiin beddelka aqoonsiga Arteta ayaa si cad u socda. James iyo Ancelotti oo dib u midoobay: maxay uga dhigan tahay Everton? James Rodriguez, saaxirkii Koobka Adduunka iyo niyad jabkii guud ee Real Madrid, ayaa saxiixay inuu dib ula midoobo tababaraha kooxda uu jecel yahay, Carlo Ancelotti, xilli ciyaareedkaan Everton. In kasta oo uu celcelis ahaan celcelis ahaan ka badnaa 1.0 isku-darka goolasha iyo caawinta 90-kii daqiiqadood ee saddex ka mid ah lixdii xilli ciyaareed ee la soo dhaafay (laba jeer Real iyo hal mar oo uu amaah laba sano ah ku qaatay Bayern Munich), isku darka dhaawacyo iyo doorbid maamul – iyo kuwa kale, Zinedine Zidane ee Madrid waligiis uma muuqan inuu taageere u yahay – daqiiqado yar ayuu hoos u dhigay, wuxuuna u baahday dhaqan celin.
